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Causal Inference for Continuous-Time Processes When Covariates Are Observed Only at Discrete Times

机译:仅在离散时间观察协变量的连续时间过程的因果推论

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摘要

Most of the work on the structural nested model and g-estimation for causal inference in longitudinal data assumes a discrete-time underlying data generating process. However, in some observational studies, it is more reasonable to assume that the data are generated from a continuous-time process and are only observable at discrete time points. When these circumstances arise, the sequential randomization assumption in the observed discrete-time data, which is essential in justifying discrete-time g-estimation, may not be reasonable. Under a deterministic model, we discuss other useful assumptions that guarantee the consistency of discrete-time g-estimation. In more general cases, when those assumptions are violated, we propose a controlling-the-future method that performs at least as well as g-estimation in most scenarios and which provides consistent estimation in some cases where g-estimation is severely inconsistent. We apply the methods discussed in this paper to simulated data, as well as to a data set collected following a massive flood in Bangladesh, estimating the effect of diarrhea on children’s height. Results from different methods are compared in both simulation and the real application.
机译:关于纵向数据中因果关系的结构嵌套模型和g估计的大多数工作都假设了离散时间基础数据生成过程。但是,在某些观察性研究中,更合理的假设是数据是从连续时间过程生成的,并且只能在离散时间点观察到。当出现这些情况时,观察到的离散时间数据中的顺序随机假设可能是不合理的,这对于证明离散时间g估计是必不可少的。在确定性模型下,我们讨论了可保证离散时间g估计的一致性的其他有用假设。在更一般的情况下,当违反这些假设时,我们提出了一种未来控制方法,该方法在大多数情况下至少执行与g估计一样的性能,并且在g估计严重不一致的某些情况下提供一致的估计。我们将本文中讨论的方法应用于模拟数据以及孟加拉国发生大水灾后收集的数据集,以估计腹泻对儿童身高的影响。仿真和实际应用中都比较了不同方法的结果。

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